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Super Tuesday primaries 2024: Trump and Biden dominate, Haley drops out

Super Tuesday 2024: Live results and analysis from 538.
38:48
ABC News Photo Illustration
Super Tuesday brings a couple surprises | 538 Politics Podcast
By 538 Staff
Last Updated: March 6, 2024, 5:31 AM

March 5 was Super Tuesday — the biggest election day of the year until the one in November! With former President Donald Trump projected to win 14 of the day's 15 GOP presidential nominating contests, former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley announced Wednesday morning that she is suspending her campaign.

It was also the first downballot primary day of 2024, with important contests for Senate, House and governor in states like Alabama, California, North Carolina and Texas.

538 reporters, analysts and contributors broke down the election results as they came in with live updates, analysis and commentary. Read our full live blog below.

Latest headlines:

  • That's a wrap!
  • New projections in California's 20th and 31st
  • No runoff after all in North Carolina's 6th
  • Some projections in California
  • Biden and Trump are officially presumptive nominees
Here's how the news is developing.

Mar 06, 2024 5:31 AM
By Geoffrey Skelley

Moore wins Alabama's 1st District Republican primary

ABC News projects that Rep. Barry Moore will defeat fellow Rep. Jerry Carl in Alabama's 1st District GOP primary, winning the lone incumbent-versus-incumbent primary we're expecting to have this cycle.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


Mar 06, 2024 5:27 AM
By Kaleigh Rogers

One last look at North Carolina

The big races I was eyeing in North Carolina are tightening up. In the 1st District (which is set to be the only competitive Congressional race in the Tar Heel state in November), wealthy businesswoman Laurie Buckhout is projected to win the GOP nomination. The 6th District looks destined for a runoff. In the 8th District, Mark Harris (whose 2018 win was thrown out due to allegations of ballot fraud) is projected to win the Republican nomination. And in the 13th District, Kelly Daughtry, an attorney who came in third in the Republican primary in 2022, is creeping closer to the 30 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff. Not a ton of surprises, but an interesting night downballot for sure!

—Kaleigh Rogers, 538

PHOTO: North Carolina Congressional candidate, Laurie Buckhout.
Laurie Buckhout for Congress
North Carolina Congressional candidate, Laurie Buckhout.
Laurie Buckhout for Congress

Mar 06, 2024 5:15 AM
By Meredith Conroy

What's going on in Katie Porter's district?

The race in California's 47th District is competitive within the Democratic field where, as we've mentioned, Rep. Katie Porter decided to run for Senate, opening up her House seat. The House primary she won in 2018 to face (and eventually defeat) the Republican incumbent, Mimi Walters was also competitive. In fact, Dave Min, who is running today, was the favored Democrat in that 2018 primary, but Porter beat him out to finish second, behind Walters, and went on to win the seat. With 46 percent of the expected vote in, Min is leading his closet rival, Joanna Weiss, by about 8 points.

—Meredith Conroy, 538 contributor



Mar 06, 2024 5:10 AM
By Geoffrey Skelley

A political scion advances in Alabama's 2nd District Democratic primary

Redistricting made Alabama's 2nd District Democratic-leaning, and a bevy of candidates jumped into the party primary with a shot at winnable seat. But in Alabama, primary winners must win a majority, so the crowded race has made an April runoff likely. With about 80 percent of the expected vote reporting, former Justice Department official Shomari Figures leads with nearly 44 percent. ABC News has projected that Figures, the son of longtime state Sen. Vivian Figures and the late state Sen. Michael Figures, will advance to the likely runoff. The race of the second runoff spot is not set, but state House Minority Leader Anthony Daniels has 22 percent, ahead of state Rep. Napoleon Bracy's 16 percent. Daniel actually hails from Huntsville in the north of the state, far from the southern Alabama base of the district. Bracy is from Mobile, and there are still some votes left to report from there, so he can't be discounted.

—Geoffrey Skelley, 538


Mar 06, 2024 9:00 PM
By Nathaniel Rakich

The field is set in California's 47th and 49th

ABC News is also projecting the general-election candidates in two California House races:

- In the 47th District, Republican Scott Baugh and Democrat Dave Min have advanced out of the top two primary, leaving Democrat Joanna Weiss out in the cold. This is the seat that Democratic Rep. Katie Porter vacated to run for Senate, and it will be tough for Democrats to defend. Some Democrats are worried that Min's DUI arrest last year could drag him down.

- In the 49th District, Democratic Rep. Mike Levin and Republican Matt Gunderson have advanced to the general election. Biden carried this district by 11 points in 2020, so it'll probably stay in Democratic hands, but it's not out of the question that Gunderson could win in the fall.

—Nathaniel Rakich, 538


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