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Senior research assistant

Mary Radcliffe

Mary's Latest Work

PHOTO: Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls. — ABC News Photo Illustration, Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images

What do Americans think of Trump's executive actions?

PHOTO: Abortion didn't affect the 2024 election as much as Democrats hoped. — ABC News Photo Art | Adobe Stock | Chip Somodevilla, Alex Wong, Sergio Flores/Getty Images | Stefani Reynolds, Frederic J. Brown/AFP via Getty Images

Why abortion didn't lead Democrats to victory in the 2024 election

PHOTO: Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls. — ABC News Photo Illustration/Anna Moneymaker/Getty/Adobe stock

Why Democrats now support the Hunter Biden pardon

PHOTO: Pennsylvania is one of seven key swing states likely to determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. — ABC News Photo Illustration/Anna Moneymaker/BrandonBell/Getty Images/Adobe stock

The 2024 election could hinge on Pennsylvania

PHOTO: The 2024 election cycle has fewer polls than past years, but data suggests that they're of higher quality. — ABC News Photo Illustration | 538 | Adobe Stock

2024 has fewer polls, but they are higher quality

PHOTO: Georgia is one of seven key swing states likely to determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. — ABC News, Adobe, Ethan Miller/Getty Images, Rebecca Noble/AFP via Getty Images

How Georgia could swing back to the GOP in 2024

PHOTO: Photo Illustration — ABC News, Adobe Stock, Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

Which way are key demographic groups leaning in the 2024 election?

PHOTO: Nevada is one of seven key swing states likely to determine the outcome of the 2024 presidential election. — ABC News Photo Illustration, Saul Loeb, Brandon Bell, Getty, Adobe

Why Nevada is so close in 2024

PHOTO: 538 North Carolina story — ABC Photo Illustration, Andrew Harnik/ Getty, Mario Tama / Getty

How Democrats could finally win North Carolina in 2024

PHOTO: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. speaks during the Freedom Fest at the Caesars Forum Conference Center, July 12, 2024, in Las Vegas. — Daniel Jacobi II/Las Vegas Review-Journal/Tribune News Service via Getty Images

How much momentum will RFK Jr.'s endorsement give Trump?

538 took a deep dive into Harris's polling numbers — ABC News Photo Illustration

Harris is starting to rebuild the Biden coalition

PHOTO: Welcome to Pollapalooza, 538's roundup of the latest polls. — ABC News Photo Illustration, Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

Americans don't like Project 2025

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