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Dreaming of a white Christmas? Here are the chances according to NOAA

1:43
Snowstorms explained by Ginger Zee
NurPhoto via Getty Images, FILE
ByMax Golembo and Haley Yamada
December 21, 2021, 10:04 AM

Ahead of Christmas, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has released an interactive map that shows the average percent chance of seeing snow in towns across the country.

NOAA defines the meaning of a "white Christmas" if there is at least 1 inch of snow on the ground by 7 a.m. Christmas morning.

Snow covers the tops of knitted yarn pom-poms decorating a tree along West River Road as a couple walks by in Minneapolis, April 3, 2021.
Shari L. Gross/AP, FILE

According to data collected by the NOAA over the course of 30 years, most large U.S. cities, from Boston to Chicago to Seattle, don't typically have much of a chance of seeing a white Christmas on average.

Minneapolis-Saint Paul is the only large metropolitan area that has a likely chance, at 74%.

In the Northeast, Washington, D.C., normally has a 5% chance and New York City typically has a 13% chance of seeing a white Christmas on average.

People gather around Christmas trees on Michigan Ave. in Chicago, Dec. 19, 2021.
Joel Lerner/Xinhua via Newscom

Those out West have a bit more luck.

Aspen, Colorado, has almost a 100% chance of seeing a white Christmas and Breckenridge, Colorado, is not far behind with a 98% chance on average.

With the mild start to the winter season this year, the national snowfall average is behind across most of the U.S.

As of now, not much snow is expected east of the Rockies, where it is forecast to get warmer for most heading towards Christmas this year.

New York City, Philadelphia, Washington, D.C., Chicago, Detroit and Denver are not expected to see a white Christmas this year.

Christmas decorations adorn a snow covered house in Toronto, Dec. 25, 2020.
NurPhoto via Getty Images, FILE

However, most of the Rocky Mountains and all of the West Coast at higher elevations will see snow on the ground.

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MORE: California braces for flooding, East Coast may get a warm Christmas

Similarly, in the Northeast, snow will be on the ground at higher elevations, especially from upstate New York to Vermont, New Hampshire and Maine.

The forecast this year calls for a white Christmas in most of North Dakota, the northern half of Minnesota, northern Wisconsin and most northern parts of Michigan, including the Upper Peninsula.

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