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How a new NASA satellite could help solve the global temperature spike mystery

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2024 was Earth's warmest year on record, surpassing 2023
Denny Henry/Nasa
ByDan Peck
January 29, 2025, 3:42 PM

Last year, 2024, was the warmest year on record for the planet, easily breaking the previous record set just a year earlier.

Scientists say the unfolding El Niño event superimposed on long-term global warming is a primary driver of this huge spike in global surface temperatures since mid-2023. But the magnitude of the increase shocked many experts, leaving them somewhat puzzled about what else could be behind the remarkable rise.

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New research published in Environmental Research Letters investigated some of the additional factors that could be contributing to the spike in global temperature. Researchers focused specifically on the things that impact the amount of energy entering and leaving the Earth, known as the planet's energy balance.

Their findings show that atmospheric aerosol levels could be partly to blame for an energy imbalance that's causing our accelerating warming rate.

PHOTO: AFS-8/101
NASA and SpaceX technicians safely encapsulate the PACE spacecraft in a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket, Jan. 30, 2024, at the Kennedy Space Center in Florida.
Denny Henry/Nasa

This new data joins a growing list of research that points to atmospheric aerosols as a potentially significant contributor to our record-breaking global surface temperatures. It also underscores the importance of better understanding how various atmospheric aerosols behave and interact with each other.

Atmospheric aerosols are tiny particles that can reflect sunlight back into space and reduce global temperatures. However, their concentrations have greatly diminished due to international efforts to reduce air pollution in recent decades. Now, more sunlight reaches the Earth's surface, creating a heating effect.

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For decades, we've been removing aerosols from our air without fully realizing the potential cascading effects of these actions.

To help solve this puzzle, climate scientists are eagerly awaiting the first batch of operational data from NASA's newest Earth-observing satellite, PACE (Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud, ocean Ecosystem), launched nearly a year ago.

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According to NASA, the PACE satellite can map atmospheric aerosols and differentiate how they absorb light and heat, characterizing them as "light" or "dark" in nature. Climate scientists say this will help them better understand how changing levels of different atmospheric aerosols impact the planet's energy balance and global temperature trends.

While satellite data has been publicly available since April, the satellite isn't fully operational yet, according to NASA. That's because the data is still undergoing verification and quality control, deeming it unusable in climate models and academic research. However, that will likely change later this year, as the data is currently undergoing its final validation stage.

ABC News' Matthew Glasser contributed to this report.

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