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Stock market surges on Election Day

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What a Trump or Harris administration could mean for the stock market?
Richard Drew/AP
ByMax Zahn
November 05, 2024, 9:10 PM

The U.S. stock market climbed higher in trading on Tuesday, as voters rushed to the polls and the nation awaited the results of a closely contested presidential election.

The S&P 500 ticked upward about 1.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained more than 400 points, jumping about 1%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 1.4%.

Gains at large tech firms are helping to boost the market. Shares of Nvidia, an artificial intelligence chipmaker, climbed nearly 3% in early trading.

At market close, tech giants Meta and Amazon had each seen shares rise about 2%.

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The Nasdaq briefly halted trading of Trump Media and Technology Group Corp, the media company owned by former President Donald Trump. The stock price fell rapidly over a 15-minute period in the afternoon, dropping from $37 to $34. Shares ultimately closed at $33.94.

The overall market upswing follows a flurry of largely positive economic news over the past week. Government data released last week showed robust economic growth over a recent three-month period, alongside a continued cooldown of inflation.

U.S. hiring slowed in October, but fallout from hurricanes and labor strikes likely caused an undercount of the nation's workers, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics data on Friday showed.

Ivan Feinseth, a market analyst at investment firm Tigress Financial, attributed the returns on Tuesday to eager anticipation among investors to move past the U.S. election.

"The nightmare of an endless election and a contentious battle has consumed a lot of the focus and attention. It's almost over. Then it goes back to the fundamentals of the market," Feinseth said.

The gains on Election Day extended a banner year for U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq have each climbed more than 20% this year while the Dow Jones is up about 11%.

The performance has owed to enthusiasm about artificial intelligence as well as resilient economic growth and expectations that interest rates would ease, Feinseth said.

Democratic presidential nominee, U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris and Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump campaign, Nov. 4, 2024.
Getty Images

The Federal Reserve cut its benchmark interest rate a half of a percentage point in September, dialing back its yearslong fight against inflation and delivering relief for borrowers saddled with high costs.

The Fed is widely expected to cut interest rates by another quarter of a percentage point when it meets on Thursday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, a measure of market sentiment.

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An expectation of interest rate cuts among investors often sends stocks higher, since lower rates pave the way for cheaper corporate borrowing and the potential for higher profits.

"The market looks toward the future, and the Fed is now on the side of the bulls," Feinseth said.

Over the full span of the next administration, the market will likely move higher whether the nation elects Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump, experts previously told ABC News. However, each candidate's policies could favor different types of stocks while posing unique risks, they added.

Trump has proposed a combination of low corporate tax rates and loose regulation that would likely bolster corporate profits and propel the stock market higher, experts said. Prices would likely increase under Harris, as they have under the economic stewardship of President Joe Biden, they added.

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