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Election 2024 updates: With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

PHOTO: Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump and former first lady Melania Trump depart the stage at an election night watch party, Nov. 6, 2024, in West Palm Beach, Fla.
3:04
Evan Vucci/AP
Elon Musk joins Trump’s calls with world leaders
By 538 and ABC News
Last Updated: November 10, 2024, 2:52 AM

Just days after former President Donald Trump was projected to have won the presidency, Trump's transition team operation has begun, with transition co-chairs confirming that he will be selecting personnel to serve under his leadership in the coming days.

Trump is also the projected winner in Arizona, a state the former president flipped after losing it to Joe Biden in 2020.

Trump's projected win in the vital swing state marks a sweep of the battleground states.

Key Headlines

  • With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states
  • Steve Witkoff and Kelly Loeffler to lead Trump's inaugural efforts
  • Trump to meet with Biden Wednesday
  • Maryland election boards receive bomb threats as ballots are counted
  • Steve Witkoff and Kelly Loeffler expected to lead Trump's inaugural efforts
  • Trump projected winner in Nevada
  • Trump announces chief of staff
Here's how the news is developing.

Nov 10, 2024 2:52 AM

With Arizona, Trump sweeps all 7 swing states

President-elect Donald Trump is the projected winner of all seven closely watched battleground states in the 2024 election, ABC News reports.

The final tally of swing state victories comes after Trump was projected to win Arizona -- the final state, overall, to have a projected winner after Tuesday's presidential election.

On the campaign trail, Trump and his Democratic rival, Vice President Kamala Harris, both made repeated visits to the seven battleground states.

Trump's sweep of the swing states netted him 93 total electoral votes.

His margin of victories in the swing states ranged from more than 189,000 votes in North Carolina to a much narrower 30,000 votes in Wisconsin, according to unofficial vote tallies.

With the projection for Arizona, the final electoral count for the 2024 election is 312 electoral votes for Trump and 226 for Harris.

That bests Trump's previous 304-227 showing in 2016 against Hillary Clinton and also tops President Joe Biden's 306-232 win over Trump in the 2020 election.


Nov 10, 2024 2:01 AM

Trump projected winner in Arizona

President-elect Donald Trump is the projected winner in Arizona, ABC News reports.


Nov 09, 2024 11:53 PM

Trump says Haley, Pompeo won't be part of 2nd administration

President-elect Donald Trump announced Saturday that two of his former cabinet members won't be returning with him to the White House.

"I will not be inviting former Ambassador Nikki Haley, or former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, to join the Trump Administration," he said in a Truth Social post.

Trump thanked them for their service.

-ABC News' Lalee Ibssa



Nov 09, 2024 8:21 PM

Steve Witkoff and Kelly Loeffler to lead Trump's inaugural efforts

President-elect Donald Trump announced on Saturday that his close friend Steve Witkoff and former Georgia Sen. Kelly Loeffler will co-chair the Trump Vance Inaugural Committee, as ABC News reported yesterday.

"This will be the kick-off to my administration, which will deliver on bold promises to Make America Great Again. Together, we will celebrate this moment, steeped on history and tradition, and then get to work to achieve the most incredible future for our people, restoring strength, success, and common sense to the Oval Office," Trump said in a statement.

Witkoff and Loeffler have been among the biggest fundraisers for Trump this election cycle, hosting multiple key campaign fundraisers as well as accompanying him to campaign rallies.

-ABC News' Lalee Ibssa


Nov 05, 2024 10:20 PM
By G. Elliott Morris

A crash course on exit polling

If it’s after 5 p.m. Eastern on Election Day, it’s exit poll time! If you’re watching the news or scrolling social media tonight ,you’re likely to encounter findings from this mega-poll of voters throughout the night (and coming weeks). But there are some reasons to take what you see, especially early, with a grain of salt.

PHOTO: Detroit voters at the polls inside Central United Methodist Church, Nov. 5, 2024, in downtown Detroit, Michigan.
Sarah Rice/Getty Images
Detroit voters at the polls inside Central United Methodist Church, Nov. 5, 2024, in downtown Detroit, Michigan.
Sarah Rice/Getty Images

The exit poll is a survey of voters nationally and in key states that asks people questions like who they voted for, when they made up their mind and why they voted the way they did. The exit poll is conducted by Edison Research (a survey research, voter data and election returns company) and sponsored by a consortium of news networks in the U.S. (ABC News is one of them.) ABC News will be reporting exit poll results nationally and in 10 states: the seven battleground states (Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) plus Florida, Ohio and Texas.

Long ago, the exit poll only interviewed people in person as they left their polling places after casting ballots in person on Election Day. With the rise of mail-in and in-person early voting, the pollsters and statisticians behind the exit poll added telephone interviews to account for early and mail-in voters.

The exit poll is an incredible feat of engineering and a rich source of data on voter behavior in America, and you can expect it to be cited frequently after the election as a measure of “ground truth” (or at least one of the highest-quality estimates available) about how and why people voted. However, at the end of the day, the exit poll is just a very detailed survey, so it is not infallible. In particular, the way it is conducted warrants two main caveats:

First, the results of the exit poll can and will change over time, especially at the subgroup level. The earliest results of the exit poll are essentially toplines and crosstabs from a very large poll of voters, but which contain a lot of guesses about the eventual demographic composition of the country. As the votes roll in over the course of the election night (or week), the pollsters behind the scenes adjust the results of the poll to match the results of the election.

As a result, the findings of the exit poll can and do change as more votes are counted, especially for subgroups. In Wisconsin in 2020, for example, preliminary exit poll results had Trump +1 among men. In final data (weighted Wednesday morning), Trump was +10 among men. Overinterpreting the poll — say, if you had hitched your horse to the wagon of low or no gender gap in the electorate — risks setting up narratives that are swiftly knocked down with actual data.

The second word of caution is to remember the exit poll is just one imperfect estimate. Yes, it is generated with a lot of data and care, but misspecified weights or sampling noise can impact results just like with any other poll. Interpretations of the final exit poll results should be used with caution. As a result of all these caveats, 538 rarely cites exit polls, and we prefer to wait for actual results before wedding ourselves to narratives. If you are going to cite the exit poll, we recommend waiting until it has been at least somewhat weighted to be representative of actual election results.


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